Betting Lines
| Spread | MICH -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | MICH -200 PSU +155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MICH +10 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | MICH -2.9 (+7.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.7 (+1.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MICH -2.7 (+7.3) | 147.7 (+0.3) | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MICH -3.6 (+6.4) | 146.9 (+1.1) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MICH -2.9 (+7.1) | 146.5 (+1.5) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MICH -2.6 (+7.4) | 147.2 (+0.8) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | MICH 110 – 69 PSU |
| Jan 7, 2026 | MICH 74 – 72 PSU |
| Jan 27, 2025 | MICH 76 – 72 PSU |
| Mar 14, 2024 | PSU 66 – 57 MICH |
| Jan 7, 2024 | PSU 79 – 73 MICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MICH | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-16 | 23-14 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 10-10 |
| Home | 13-4 | 13-3 |
| Away | 3-8 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.4 | 72.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 68.2 |
| Massey | 7.2 (#74) | 8.6 (#64) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.97 (#94) | 1.71 (#54) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.93 (#68) | 2.37 (#55) |
| RPI | 0.537 (#111) | 0.563 (#71) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MICH | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 38.8% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 6.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.36 | 1.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 55.8% |
| TOV% | 13.6% | 12.9% |
| ORB% | 24.5% | 18.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 16.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 46.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 75.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.3% | 17.2% |
Game Analysis
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