Betting Lines
| Spread | PSU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | PSU -333 MICH +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PSU +9 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | PSU -4.0 (+5.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.1 (-32.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PSU -3.5 (+5.5) | 151.9 (-28.9) | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PSU -3.4 (+5.6) | 150.2 (-27.2) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PSU -3.8 (+5.2) | 151.1 (-28.1) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PSU -3.4 (+5.6) | 150.8 (-27.8) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | MICH 110 – 69 PSU |
| Jan 7, 2026 | MICH 74 – 72 PSU |
| Jan 27, 2025 | MICH 76 – 72 PSU |
| Jan 7, 2024 | PSU 79 – 73 MICH |
| Jan 29, 2023 | PSU 83 – 61 MICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PSU | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 3-17 |
| Home | 12-4 | 5-10 |
| Away | 2-8 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 2-5 | 1-5 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L9 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.1 | 72.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 79.0 |
| Massey | 7.2 (#81) | 3.2 (#118) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.88 (#106) | 0.13 (#156) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.30 (#97) | 0.58 (#129) |
| RPI | 0.514 (#145) | 0.497 (#182) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PSU | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 32.1 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 26.9% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.6% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 13.6% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.1% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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