Betting Lines
| Spread | MICH -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 159.5 Under |
| Money | MICH -425 PSU +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MICH +4 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | MICH -8.7 (-4.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.4 (-14.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MICH -8.1 (-4.1) | 158.9 (-10.9) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MICH -8.6 (-4.6) | 161.3 (-13.3) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MICH -8.2 (-4.2) | 159.6 (-11.6) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MICH -8.8 (-4.8) | 157.9 (-9.9) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | MICH 110 – 69 PSU |
| Jan 7, 2026 | MICH 74 – 72 PSU |
| Mar 14, 2024 | PSU 66 – 57 MICH |
| Jan 7, 2024 | PSU 79 – 73 MICH |
| Jan 29, 2023 | PSU 83 – 61 MICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MICH | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-10 | 16-15 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 6-14 |
| Home | 13-3 | 11-6 |
| Away | 7-3 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 7-4 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.0 | 79.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 73.2 |
| Massey | 18.5 (#16) | 13.1 (#41) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.62 (#27) | 1.55 (#67) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.82 (#21) | 2.38 (#57) |
| RPI | 0.637 (#17) | 0.555 (#80) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MICH | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.0% | 48.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 38.9 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 1.45 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.1% | 54.7% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 35.6% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 27.1% | 28.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.0% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 21.8% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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