Betting Lines
| Spread | MICH -24.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 169.5 Under |
| Money | PSU +2200 MICH -8000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MICH +2 | 146 | Lost |
| Massey | MICH -28.3 (+26.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 165.1 (-19.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 0% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MICH -10.7 (+8.7) | 161.2 (-15.2) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MICH -14.0 (+12.0) | 156.3 (-10.3) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MICH -20.1 (+18.1) | 157.3 (-11.3) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MICH -18.3 (+16.3) | 159.8 (-13.8) | 12% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | MICH 110 – 69 PSU |
| Jan 27, 2025 | MICH 76 – 72 PSU |
| Mar 14, 2024 | PSU 66 – 57 MICH |
| Jan 7, 2024 | PSU 79 – 73 MICH |
| Jan 29, 2023 | PSU 83 – 61 MICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PSU | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 37-3 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 19-1 |
| Home | 9-8 | 14-1 |
| Away | 2-9 | 11-0 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 12-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L3 | W6 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.7 | 87.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.3 | 69.5 |
| Massey | 2.4 (#131) | 34.5 (#1) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.43 (#138) | 5.53 (#2) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.33 (#152) | 8.33 (#3) |
| RPI | 0.508 (#158) | 0.743 (#1) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PSU | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.7% | 53.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.4% | 36.8% |
| REB / G | 31.1 | 44.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.51 | 1.68 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.9% | 61.1% |
| TOV% | 13.4% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 35.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 29.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.4% | 40.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 18.9% |
Game Analysis
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