Betting Lines
| Spread | LONG -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | CHSO +300 LONG -300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CHSO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LONG +5 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | LONG -7.0 (+2.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.9 (+4.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 35% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LONG -7.6 (+2.6) | 147.8 (+5.2) | 24% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LONG -8.3 (+3.3) | 146.7 (+6.3) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LONG -6.9 (+1.9) | 147.5 (+5.5) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LONG -6.9 (+1.9) | 149.5 (+3.5) | 24% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | LONG 107 – 96 CHSO |
| Jan 24, 2026 | LONG 81 – 79 CHSO |
| Feb 1, 2025 | CHSO 89 – 85 LONG |
| Jan 5, 2025 | LONG 83 – 78 CHSO |
| Feb 3, 2024 | CHSO 83 – 77 LONG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CHSO | LONG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-21 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 12-6 |
| Home | 6-8 | 12-3 |
| Away | 3-12 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.4 | 71.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.4 | 66.4 |
| Massey | -7.1 (#297) | 4.3 (#102) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.27 (#293) | 0.12 (#157) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.71 (#295) | 0.14 (#160) |
| RPI | 0.433 (#295) | 0.500 (#175) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CHSO | LONG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 35.0% | 33.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.0% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 22.2% |
| DRB% | 67.5% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
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