Betting Lines
| Spread | APP -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | APP -200 CCU +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | APP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | APP +1 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | APP -8.5 (-7.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.1 (-11.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | APP -4.1 (-3.1) | 138.9 (-13.9) | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | APP -3.5 (-2.5) | 139.3 (-14.3) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | APP -3.8 (-2.8) | 137.6 (-12.6) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | APP -3.7 (-2.7) | 138.4 (-13.4) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | CCU 67 – 62 APP |
| Dec 18, 2025 | APP 67 – 49 CCU |
| Feb 14, 2025 | APP 64 – 46 CCU |
| Jan 8, 2025 | APP 74 – 51 CCU |
| Jan 20, 2024 | APP 88 – 59 CCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | APP | CCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 11-20 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 5-13 |
| Home | 10-7 | 8-8 |
| Away | 6-7 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.6 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.1 | 77.3 |
| Massey | -2.5 (#217) | -6.7 (#294) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.04 (#274) | -0.05 (#179) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.37 (#276) | -0.59 (#216) |
| RPI | 0.465 (#239) | 0.513 (#151) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | APP | CCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 28.1% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.4 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 46.8% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 21.1% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 19.2% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.6% | 16.7% |
Game Analysis
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