Betting Lines
| Spread | OU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 125.5 Under |
| Money | OU -175 ISU +138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ISU +3 | 123 | Lost |
| Massey | OU -1.8 (-4.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 120.1 (+2.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OU -2.4 (-5.4) | 127.8 (-4.8) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OU -1.8 (-4.8) | 130.3 (-7.3) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | OU -2.1 (-5.1) | 131.8 (-8.8) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OU -2.6 (-5.6) | 127.7 (-4.7) | 52% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 29, 2024 | ISU 58 – 45 OU |
| Jan 6, 2024 | OU 71 – 63 ISU |
| Feb 25, 2023 | OU 61 – 50 ISU |
| Feb 19, 2022 | ISU 75 – 54 OU |
| Jan 8, 2022 | OU 79 – 66 ISU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OU | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 9-9 |
| Home | 9-7 | 13-3 |
| Away | 2-8 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.5 | 62.6 |
| Massey | 9.4 (#51) | 11.9 (#33) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.55 (#63) | 2.45 (#24) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.63 (#43) | 2.88 (#33) |
| RPI | 0.566 (#69) | 0.579 (#55) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OU | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.3% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 39.4% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 31.6 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 6.1 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.28 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.3% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 22.1% | 32.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 17.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.8% | 45.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 30.7% |
| DRB% | 76.9% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.7% | 27.2% |
Game Analysis
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