Betting Lines
| Spread | ISU -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | ISU -500 OU +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ISU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ISU +13 | 103 | Won |
| Massey | ISU -9.6 (+3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.2 (-37.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ISU -8.7 (+4.3) | 137.4 (-34.4) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ISU -8.7 (+4.3) | 139.1 (-36.1) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ISU -9.0 (+4.0) | 139.2 (-36.2) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ISU -9.7 (+3.3) | 139.8 (-36.8) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 6, 2024 | OU 71 – 63 ISU |
| Feb 25, 2023 | OU 61 – 50 ISU |
| Jan 5, 2023 | ISU 63 – 60 OU |
| Feb 19, 2022 | ISU 75 – 54 OU |
| Jan 8, 2022 | OU 79 – 66 ISU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ISU | OU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-8 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 8-10 |
| Home | 18-0 | 14-4 |
| Away | 5-5 | 3-6 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.3 | 75.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.5 | 68.8 |
| Massey | 18.9 (#8) | 12.6 (#33) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.64 (#9) | 1.97 (#41) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.06 (#15) | 2.46 (#34) |
| RPI | 0.601 (#24) | 0.569 (#63) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ISU | OU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.3% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.49 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 53.5% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 33.2% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 27.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 46.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.1% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 74.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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