Betting Lines
| Spread | OU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.0 Under |
| Money | OU -135 ISU +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OU +8 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | ISU -3.7 (+11.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.8 (-12.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OU -1.1 (+6.9) | 141.2 (-7.2) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OU -0.8 (+7.2) | 144.9 (-10.9) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OU -0.6 (+7.4) | 145.0 (-11.0) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OU -0.4 (+7.6) | 146.4 (-12.4) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 29, 2024 | ISU 58 – 45 OU |
| Feb 25, 2023 | OU 61 – 50 ISU |
| Jan 5, 2023 | ISU 63 – 60 OU |
| Feb 19, 2022 | ISU 75 – 54 OU |
| Jan 8, 2022 | OU 79 – 66 ISU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OU | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 29-8 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 13-5 |
| Home | 14-4 | 18-0 |
| Away | 3-6 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.4 | 75.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.8 | 61.5 |
| Massey | 12.7 (#31) | 20.7 (#6) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.58 (#22) | 1.44 (#70) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.42 (#24) | 1.84 (#71) |
| RPI | 0.583 (#55) | 0.533 (#122) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OU | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.1% | 50.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 37.8% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 37.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.8% | 56.5% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 15.1% |
| ORB% | 34.9% | 34.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 29.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.8% | 45.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 27.2% |
| DRB% | 74.6% | 76.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
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