Betting Lines
| Spread | OU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 129.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OU +13 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | OU -2.9 (+10.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.1 (+20.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 18% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OU -5.6 (+7.4) | 133.3 (+11.7) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OU -2.1 (+10.9) | 130.2 (+14.8) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OU -2.6 (+10.4) | 130.9 (+14.1) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OU -4.0 (+9.0) | 131.6 (+13.4) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 29, 2024 | ISU 58 – 45 OU |
| Jan 6, 2024 | OU 71 – 63 ISU |
| Feb 25, 2023 | OU 61 – 50 ISU |
| Jan 5, 2023 | ISU 63 – 60 OU |
| Feb 19, 2022 | ISU 75 – 54 OU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OU | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-16 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 7-11 |
| Home | 12-6 | 14-5 |
| Away | 3-8 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.1 | 65.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.0 | 62.5 |
| Massey | 11.0 (#37) | 12.0 (#27) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.91 (#53) | 4.12 (#4) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.61 (#49) | 6.21 (#3) |
| RPI | 0.581 (#54) | 0.581 (#55) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OU | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.5% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.3 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.0% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 24.4% | 32.9% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 24.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.6% | 42.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.9% | 26.4% |
| DRB% | 74.9% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.6% | 24.4% |
Game Analysis
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