Betting Lines
| Spread | ISU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Under |
| Money | ISU -350 OU +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ISU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OU +11 | 111 | Lost |
| Massey | ISU -8.9 (-19.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.5 (-13.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ISU -7.3 (-18.3) | 125.6 (-14.6) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ISU -7.0 (-18.0) | 129.8 (-18.8) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ISU -7.2 (-18.2) | 129.9 (-18.9) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ISU -6.5 (-17.5) | 128.9 (-17.9) | 72% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 29, 2024 | ISU 58 – 45 OU |
| Jan 6, 2024 | OU 71 – 63 ISU |
| Jan 5, 2023 | ISU 63 – 60 OU |
| Feb 19, 2022 | ISU 75 – 54 OU |
| Jan 8, 2022 | OU 79 – 66 ISU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ISU | OU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 5-13 |
| Home | 13-3 | 9-7 |
| Away | 3-8 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.6 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.6 | 67.5 |
| Massey | 13.6 (#16) | 8.3 (#69) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.30 (#20) | 1.37 (#67) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.88 (#20) | 2.01 (#56) |
| RPI | 0.571 (#58) | 0.531 (#117) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ISU | OU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 53.0% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 33.3% | 23.6% |
| FT Rate | 18.3% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.3% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.5% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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