Betting Lines
| Spread | ISU -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 127.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ISU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ISU +21 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | ISU -1.3 (+19.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.0 (+3.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ISU -0.5 (+20.5) | 125.1 (+3.9) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ISU -2.8 (+18.2) | 128.4 (+0.6) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ISU -2.0 (+19.0) | 130.0 (-1.0) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ISU -2.1 (+18.9) | 128.7 (+0.3) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 29, 2024 | ISU 58 – 45 OU |
| Jan 6, 2024 | OU 71 – 63 ISU |
| Feb 25, 2023 | OU 61 – 50 ISU |
| Jan 5, 2023 | ISU 63 – 60 OU |
| Jan 8, 2022 | OU 79 – 66 ISU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ISU | OU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-13 | 19-16 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 7-11 |
| Home | 14-5 | 12-6 |
| Away | 4-6 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.6 | 69.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.5 | 65.0 |
| Massey | 10.3 (#46) | 11.8 (#32) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.28 (#31) | 1.73 (#58) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.84 (#31) | 2.53 (#38) |
| RPI | 0.548 (#87) | 0.541 (#107) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ISU | OU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 47.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 54.7% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 21.6% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 26.0% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.9% | 21.0% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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