Betting Lines
| Spread | RICH -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | RICH -333 GW +333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICH +10 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | RICH -8.8 (+1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.0 (-4.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICH -7.6 (+2.4) | 141.8 (-5.8) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICH -7.8 (+2.2) | 141.9 (-5.9) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICH -6.4 (+3.6) | 143.7 (-7.7) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RICH -6.9 (+3.1) | 143.2 (-7.2) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | GW 85 – 69 RICH |
| Dec 31, 2025 | GW 99 – 85 RICH |
| Jan 30, 2025 | GW 75 – 66 RICH |
| Dec 31, 2024 | RICH 66 – 61 GW |
| Feb 17, 2024 | RICH 90 – 74 GW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICH | GW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 10-8 |
| Home | 12-4 | 11-6 |
| Away | 1-11 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.9 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.8 | 77.3 |
| Massey | 3.2 (#118) | -1.3 (#194) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.29 (#204) | -0.67 (#245) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.27 (#151) | -0.71 (#226) |
| RPI | 0.499 (#180) | 0.440 (#282) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICH | GW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 48.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 55.0% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 22.9% | 26.1% |
| FT Rate | 19.5% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 75.3% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.7% | 15.3% |
Game Analysis
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