Betting Lines
| Spread | BTLR -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | BTLR -400 DEP +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BTLR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BTLR +8 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | BTLR -14.7 (-6.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.6 (+7.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BTLR -11.9 (-3.9) | 140.9 (+7.1) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BTLR -9.8 (-1.8) | 143.8 (+4.2) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BTLR -11.5 (-3.5) | 140.0 (+8.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BTLR -12.1 (-4.1) | 139.8 (+8.2) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | BTLR 81 – 71 DEP |
| Jan 21, 2026 | BTLR 87 – 80 DEP |
| Feb 23, 2025 | BTLR 84 – 72 DEP |
| Jan 25, 2025 | BTLR 86 – 69 DEP |
| Mar 2, 2024 | BTLR 82 – 63 DEP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BTLR | DEP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 10-23 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 3-17 |
| Home | 10-6 | 7-8 |
| Away | 3-9 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.2 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.9 | 77.3 |
| Massey | 8.8 (#60) | -1.6 (#198) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.28 (#76) | 0.12 (#155) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.75 (#73) | 0.17 (#159) |
| RPI | 0.549 (#91) | 0.523 (#135) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BTLR | DEP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.3% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 32.1 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 6.8 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.4% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 21.6% | 26.9% |
| FT Rate | 18.0% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.8% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 67.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.0% | 24.2% |
Game Analysis
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