Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCG -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | UNCG -120 UTC +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNCG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCG +12 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | UNCG -1.7 (+10.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.7 (-0.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCG -1.7 (+10.3) | 136.4 (-2.4) | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCG -0.1 (+11.9) | 137.9 (-3.9) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCG -1.7 (+10.3) | 136.5 (-2.5) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNCG -1.1 (+10.9) | 138.4 (-4.4) | 56% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | UNCG 85 – 80 UTC |
| Jan 1, 2026 | UNCG 77 – 72 UTC |
| Feb 28, 2025 | UTC 75 – 63 UNCG |
| Jan 9, 2025 | UNCG 78 – 75 UTC |
| Feb 10, 2024 | UTC 89 – 61 UNCG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNCG | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 18-17 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 7-11 |
| Home | 11-3 | 9-7 |
| Away | 8-6 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.2 | 74.1 |
| Massey | 0.6 (#161) | 3.2 (#119) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.01 (#175) | 0.18 (#152) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.07 (#182) | 0.38 (#144) |
| RPI | 0.511 (#153) | 0.523 (#134) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNCG | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.2% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 38.5% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.0% | 54.5% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 24.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.6% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.9% | 19.5% |
Game Analysis
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