Betting Lines
| Spread | UTC -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | UNCG +114 UTC -135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNCG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCG +5 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | UNCG -2.4 (+2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.9 (+0.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCG -0.5 (+4.5) | 144.9 (+4.1) | 60% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCG -1.9 (+3.1) | 144.9 (+4.1) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCG -0.7 (+4.3) | 143.1 (+5.9) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTC -0.3 (+5.3) | 144.0 (+5.0) | 56% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | UNCG 85 – 80 UTC |
| Feb 28, 2025 | UTC 75 – 63 UNCG |
| Jan 9, 2025 | UNCG 78 – 75 UTC |
| Feb 10, 2024 | UTC 89 – 61 UNCG |
| Jan 14, 2024 | UNCG 70 – 54 UTC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNCG | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-19 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 7-11 |
| Home | 8-6 | 7-8 |
| Away | 4-9 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.6 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.9 | 78.1 |
| Massey | -9.3 (#301) | -7.9 (#284) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.03 (#322) | -1.29 (#278) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.66 (#320) | -1.65 (#269) |
| RPI | 0.411 (#321) | 0.417 (#313) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNCG | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 28.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.44 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 14.8% |
| ORB% | 25.6% | 21.5% |
| FT Rate | 31.1% | 27.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.9% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.0% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 67.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 32.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.