Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCG -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | UNCG -120 UTC +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNCG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTC +12 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | UNCG -3.4 (-15.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.0 (-4.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCG -2.3 (-14.3) | 139.8 (-1.8) | 65% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCG -2.6 (-14.6) | 140.3 (-2.3) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCG -1.8 (-13.8) | 138.7 (-0.7) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNCG -2.4 (-14.4) | 139.9 (-1.9) | 58% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | UNCG 85 – 80 UTC |
| Jan 1, 2026 | UNCG 77 – 72 UTC |
| Jan 9, 2025 | UNCG 78 – 75 UTC |
| Feb 10, 2024 | UTC 89 – 61 UNCG |
| Jan 14, 2024 | UNCG 70 – 54 UTC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNCG | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 29-9 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 15-3 |
| Home | 11-3 | 14-3 |
| Away | 8-6 | 12-5 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | W5 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.4 | 79.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.3 | 74.1 |
| Massey | 1.8 (#133) | 1.6 (#137) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#146) | 0.78 (#108) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.31 (#151) | 0.87 (#107) |
| RPI | 0.535 (#108) | 0.551 (#83) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNCG | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 47.9% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 1.66 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 56.0% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 25.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.1% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.9% | 23.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.