Betting Lines
| Spread | AAMU -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | AAMU -800 MVSU +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AAMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AAMU +7 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | AAMU -12.3 (-5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.6 (+9.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AAMU -8.1 (-1.1) | 134.6 (+8.4) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AAMU -7.9 (-0.9) | 134.0 (+9.0) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AAMU -7.9 (-0.9) | 133.0 (+10.0) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AAMU -7.8 (-0.8) | 134.2 (+8.8) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | AAMU 72 – 65 MVSU |
| Jan 6, 2026 | AAMU 71 – 51 MVSU |
| Feb 16, 2025 | AAMU 82 – 70 MVSU |
| Jan 7, 2025 | AAMU 79 – 67 MVSU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | AAMU 80 – 57 MVSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AAMU | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 5-27 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 4-14 |
| Home | 9-8 | 4-6 |
| Away | 5-8 | 1-19 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.0 | 61.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 74.8 |
| Massey | -8.9 (#318) | -16.9 (#359) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.40 (#345) | -1.94 (#331) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.09 (#346) | -2.41 (#327) |
| RPI | 0.369 (#358) | 0.418 (#315) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AAMU | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 37.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 0.48 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.7% | 41.2% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 25.9% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 16.8% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.1% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 63.5% | 64.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 25.2% |
Game Analysis
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