Betting Lines
| Spread | AMCC -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | AMCC -1000 UIW +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AMCC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AMCC +30 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | AMCC -15.1 (+14.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.5 (+12.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AMCC -11.2 (+18.8) | 144.1 (+7.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AMCC -11.4 (+18.6) | 141.9 (+10.1) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AMCC -11.0 (+19.0) | 143.5 (+8.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AMCC -10.4 (+19.6) | 143.4 (+8.6) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2026 | UIW 71 – 69 AMCC |
| Jan 24, 2026 | AMCC 79 – 71 UIW |
| Feb 15, 2025 | AMCC 69 – 55 UIW |
| Jan 18, 2025 | AMCC 69 – 63 UIW |
| Mar 7, 2024 | AMCC 71 – 52 UIW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AMCC | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 6-12 |
| Home | 13-2 | 7-7 |
| Away | 7-7 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.1 | 68.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.6 | 75.1 |
| Massey | -0.8 (#190) | -11.6 (#347) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.12 (#190) | -1.67 (#318) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.04 (#180) | -2.36 (#323) |
| RPI | 0.497 (#182) | 0.393 (#339) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AMCC | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.3% | 39.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.5% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.1% | 45.2% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 21.8% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 19.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.0% | 54.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.3% | 21.2% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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