Betting Lines
| Spread | SIU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 126.5 Under |
| Money | SIU -115 DRKE -111 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIU +4 | 102 | Won |
| Massey | SIU -5.6 (-1.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 120.8 (-18.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIU -4.0 (-0.0) | 128.3 (-26.3) | 65% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIU -3.0 (+1.0) | 128.8 (-26.8) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIU -4.5 (-0.5) | 127.8 (-25.8) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIU -4.6 (-0.6) | 128.1 (-26.1) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | DRKE 67 – 63 SIU |
| Feb 19, 2026 | SIU 66 – 61 DRKE |
| Jan 15, 2026 | DRKE 76 – 73 SIU |
| Mar 7, 2025 | DRKE 70 – 53 SIU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | DRKE 75 – 65 SIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIU | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-10 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 15-5 |
| Home | 13-2 | 14-1 |
| Away | 8-6 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 7-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.0 | 73.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.7 | 64.4 |
| Massey | 4.0 (#106) | 2.6 (#127) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.08 (#85) | 1.03 (#90) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.81 (#111) | 1.29 (#94) |
| RPI | 0.542 (#101) | 0.557 (#78) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIU | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 6.6 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.2% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 21.7% | 23.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.9% | 47.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 75.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.6% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.