Betting Lines
| Spread | GWEB -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Under |
| Money | CAM +170 GWEB -163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CAM +5 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | GWEB -2.4 (+7.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.1 (-5.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GWEB -1.7 (+6.7) | 130.4 (-9.4) | 43% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GWEB -2.8 (+7.8) | 127.8 (-6.8) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GWEB -1.9 (+6.9) | 129.8 (-8.8) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GWEB -2.0 (+7.0) | 131.4 (-10.4) | 44% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2023 | GWEB 77 – 73 CAM |
| Mar 5, 2022 | GWEB 54 – 53 CAM |
| Feb 10, 2022 | GWEB 57 – 45 CAM |
| Mar 2, 2021 | CAM 63 – 57 GWEB |
| Jan 5, 2021 | GWEB 85 – 70 CAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAM | GWEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-18 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 10-8 |
| Home | 8-6 | 8-5 |
| Away | 4-10 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.7 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 66.7 |
| Massey | -4.9 (#258) | 1.9 (#138) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.14 (#281) | -0.28 (#202) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.27 (#269) | -0.34 (#199) |
| RPI | 0.421 (#311) | 0.475 (#222) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAM | GWEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 30.3 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.2 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 22.8% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 46.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 29.1% |
Game Analysis
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