Betting Lines
| Spread | GWEB -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.0 Over |
| Money | GWEB -190 CAM +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GWEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GWEB +15 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | GWEB -3.3 (+11.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.1 (+15.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 39% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GWEB -2.4 (+12.6) | 140.1 (+14.9) | 62% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GWEB -2.7 (+12.3) | 139.6 (+15.4) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GWEB -2.6 (+12.4) | 141.4 (+13.6) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GWEB -1.9 (+13.1) | 142.0 (+13.0) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2023 | GWEB 77 – 73 CAM |
| Jan 5, 2023 | CAM 63 – 58 GWEB |
| Mar 5, 2022 | GWEB 54 – 53 CAM |
| Feb 10, 2022 | GWEB 57 – 45 CAM |
| Mar 2, 2021 | CAM 63 – 57 GWEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GWEB | CAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-15 | 17-10 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 11-6 |
| Home | 7-4 | 9-3 |
| Away | 4-11 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.4 | 67.9 |
| Massey | -2.7 (#213) | -2.7 (#211) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.31 (#258) | -0.31 (#190) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.13 (#272) | -1.08 (#226) |
| RPI | 0.454 (#224) | 0.494 (#169) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GWEB | CAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.9% | 48.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 25.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 4.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 54.4% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 22.0% | 15.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.1% | 27.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 54.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 24.3% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 64.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 26.6% |
Game Analysis
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