They were all in love with dying, they we're doing it in Texas. "Pepper" - Butthole Surfers
Big South Conference · Paul Porter Arena · February 11, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread GWEB -7.5 Away covered
O/U 124.5 Over
Money GWEB -300 / CAM +300
Model Predictions
Spread Total GWEB win
Actual GWEB +4 150 Won
Massey GWEB -8.9 (-4.9) — —
Massey Totals — 125.8 (+24.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 76% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 81% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML GWEB -7.4 (-3.4) 129.7 (+20.3) 78% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ GWEB -6.0 (-2.0) 128.5 (+21.5) 76% ✓
Baseline Plus ML GWEB -7.1 (-3.1) 130.9 (+19.1) 79% ✓
Baseline ML GWEB -7.0 (-3.0) 130.7 (+19.3) 80% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 5, 2023 CAM 63 – 58 GWEB
Mar 5, 2022 GWEB 54 – 53 CAM
Feb 10, 2022 GWEB 57 – 45 CAM
Mar 2, 2021 CAM 63 – 57 GWEB
Jan 5, 2021 GWEB 85 – 70 CAM

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings GWEB CAM
Overall 15-16 16-18
Conference 10-8 8-10
Home 8-5 8-6
Away 6-10 4-10
Neutral 1-1 4-2
Last 5 5-0 3-2
Streak L5 L1
Avg Pts For 67.4 68.7
Avg Pts Against 66.7 69.0
Massey 0.6 (#155) -4.6 (#250)
Bradley-Terry -0.38 (#215) -0.90 (#261)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.38 (#201) -1.08 (#257)
RPI 0.491 (#196) 0.457 (#262)
Shooting & Four Factors GWEB CAM
FG% 45.2% 45.1%
3PT% 33.1% 32.4%
REB / G 33.2 30.8
OREB / G 9.0 7.3
AST / TO 0.93 1.00
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.9% 51.6%
TOV% 18.9% 18.7%
ORB% 26.8% 23.4%
FT Rate 20.5% 25.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.7% 53.5%
Opp TOV% 20.8% 18.2%
DRB% 74.0% 74.4%
Opp FT Rate 27.8% 21.0%

Game Analysis

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