Betting Lines
| Spread | CAM -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | CAM -110 GWEB +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CAM +6 | 120 | Won |
| Massey | GWEB -1.2 (+7.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.2 (-18.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CAM -1.3 (+4.7) | 135.3 (-15.3) | 56% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CAM -0.3 (+5.7) | 131.8 (-11.8) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CAM -0.3 (+5.7) | 135.3 (-15.3) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CAM -1.1 (+4.9) | 135.3 (-15.3) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2023 | GWEB 77 – 73 CAM |
| Jan 5, 2023 | CAM 63 – 58 GWEB |
| Mar 5, 2022 | GWEB 54 – 53 CAM |
| Feb 10, 2022 | GWEB 57 – 45 CAM |
| Jan 5, 2021 | GWEB 85 – 70 CAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAM | GWEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-10 | 11-15 |
| Conference | 11-6 | 10-10 |
| Home | 9-3 | 7-4 |
| Away | 6-7 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.9 | 68.4 |
| Massey | -4.0 (#233) | -0.3 (#169) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.92 (#247) | -1.36 (#281) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.29 (#255) | -1.32 (#257) |
| RPI | 0.476 (#213) | 0.479 (#206) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAM | GWEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.9% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 37.4% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 27.5 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 5.5 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.9% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 18.8% | 26.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.5% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.9% | 26.9% |
Game Analysis
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