Betting Lines
| Spread | CAM -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 127.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GWEB +12 | 102 | Lost |
| Massey | CAM -0.9 (-12.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.6 (-22.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CAM -1.1 (-13.1) | 131.2 (-29.2) | 53% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CAM -0.6 (-12.6) | 126.4 (-24.4) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CAM -1.1 (-13.1) | 128.1 (-26.1) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CAM -0.8 (-12.8) | 131.3 (-29.3) | 50% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2023 | GWEB 77 – 73 CAM |
| Jan 5, 2023 | CAM 63 – 58 GWEB |
| Mar 5, 2022 | GWEB 54 – 53 CAM |
| Mar 2, 2021 | CAM 63 – 57 GWEB |
| Jan 5, 2021 | GWEB 85 – 70 CAM |
Game Analysis
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