Betting Lines
| Spread | LR -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | LR -275 LIN +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIN +5 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | LR -4.0 (-9.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.6 (-23.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LR -2.3 (-7.3) | 149.4 (-20.4) | 57% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LR -1.1 (-6.1) | 147.2 (-18.2) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LR -2.4 (-7.4) | 149.1 (-20.1) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LR -2.7 (-7.7) | 148.4 (-19.4) | 58% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | LIN 72 – 62 LR |
| Feb 6, 2026 | LIN 79 – 74 LR |
| Jan 10, 2026 | LR 82 – 74 LIN |
| Feb 21, 2025 | LIN 93 – 92 LR |
| Jan 25, 2025 | LR 78 – 46 LIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LR | LIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-21 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 6-12 |
| Home | 8-5 | 9-4 |
| Away | 2-16 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.3 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.9 | 76.1 |
| Massey | -10.0 (#333) | -9.7 (#330) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.67 (#317) | -2.01 (#333) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.33 (#321) | -2.14 (#315) |
| RPI | 0.390 (#342) | 0.398 (#333) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LR | LIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 46.7% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 22.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 17.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.7% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 65.4% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 21.4% |
Game Analysis
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