Betting Lines
| Spread | SFBK -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | SFBK -150 FDU +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SFBK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FDU +19 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | SFBK -1.6 (-20.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.3 (-13.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FDU -0.0 (-19.0) | 141.0 (-8.0) | 50% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FDU -0.1 (-18.9) | 139.1 (-6.1) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FDU -1.0 (-18.0) | 141.7 (-8.7) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SFBK -0.0 (-19.0) | 142.1 (-9.1) | 41% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 2, 2023 | FDU 83 – 75 SFBK |
| Feb 25, 2023 | FDU 86 – 69 SFBK |
| Feb 4, 2022 | SFBK 81 – 64 FDU |
| Jan 22, 2022 | SFBK 80 – 78 FDU |
| Feb 18, 2021 | SFBK 90 – 87 FDU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SFBK | FDU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-16 | 21-16 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 10-6 |
| Home | 10-5 | 10-5 |
| Away | 4-11 | 8-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.0 | 75.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 75.1 |
| Massey | -10.8 (#341) | -8.2 (#307) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.85 (#324) | -1.23 (#290) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.65 (#337) | -1.73 (#297) |
| RPI | 0.434 (#294) | 0.426 (#307) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SFBK | FDU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.7% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.6% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 56.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 21.3% |
| DRB% | 64.9% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
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