Betting Lines
| Spread | SFBK -5.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.0 Under |
| Money | SFBK -220 FDU +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SFBK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SFBK +17 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | SFBK -7.3 (+9.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.1 (+5.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SFBK -4.1 (+12.9) | 143.3 (+1.7) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SFBK -4.1 (+12.9) | 142.9 (+2.1) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SFBK -4.3 (+12.7) | 143.9 (+1.1) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SFBK -3.9 (+13.1) | 144.2 (+0.8) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 2, 2023 | FDU 83 – 75 SFBK |
| Feb 25, 2023 | FDU 86 – 69 SFBK |
| Jan 5, 2023 | FDU 76 – 57 SFBK |
| Jan 22, 2022 | SFBK 80 – 78 FDU |
| Feb 18, 2021 | SFBK 90 – 87 FDU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SFBK | FDU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-20 | 4-22 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 5-13 |
| Home | 3-9 | 3-8 |
| Away | 7-9 | 2-16 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.7 | 67.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 79.2 |
| Massey | -9.9 (#319) | -14.0 (#344) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.58 (#341) | -3.08 (#351) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.22 (#342) | -3.40 (#345) |
| RPI | 0.384 (#338) | 0.375 (#345) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SFBK | FDU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.9% | 39.6% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.7% | 45.1% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 17.8% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.5% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 66.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 24.2% |
Game Analysis
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