Betting Lines
| Spread | FDU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Over |
| Money | FDU -163 SFBK +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FDU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SFBK +3 | 177 | Lost |
| Massey | FDU -3.3 (-6.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 167.5 (+9.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FDU -2.7 (-5.7) | 159.7 (+17.3) | 64% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FDU -2.4 (-5.4) | 161.0 (+16.0) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FDU -2.3 (-5.3) | 162.0 (+15.0) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FDU -2.9 (-5.9) | 161.6 (+15.4) | 64% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 2, 2023 | FDU 83 – 75 SFBK |
| Feb 25, 2023 | FDU 86 – 69 SFBK |
| Jan 5, 2023 | FDU 76 – 57 SFBK |
| Feb 4, 2022 | SFBK 81 – 64 FDU |
| Jan 22, 2022 | SFBK 80 – 78 FDU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FDU | SFBK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-15 | 9-10 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 9-9 |
| Home | 4-6 | 4-6 |
| Away | 5-9 | 5-4 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.0 | 77.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.8 | 79.5 |
| Massey | -5.4 (#254) | -6.2 (#265) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.57 (#212) | -0.47 (#204) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.81 (#216) | -0.69 (#210) |
| RPI | 0.463 (#229) | 0.453 (#246) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FDU | SFBK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 38.3% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.0% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 66.2% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 27.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.