The name is Big Daddy, yes big not little. "Ain't No Half Steppin'" - Big Daddy Kane
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights
83 – 75
FINAL Conference Northeast Conference
St. Francis Brooklyn Terriers
Northeast Conference · Bogota Savings Bank Center · March 2, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread FDU -7.5 Home covered
O/U 142.5 Over
Money FDU -300 / SFBK +300
Model Predictions
Spread Total FDU win
Actual FDU +8 158 Won
Massey FDU -8.6 (-0.6) — —
Massey Totals — 146.9 (+11.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 76% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 84% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML FDU -6.9 (+1.1) 145.8 (+12.2) 75% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ FDU -6.6 (+1.4) 143.5 (+14.5) 76% ✓
Baseline Plus ML FDU -6.5 (+1.5) 144.1 (+13.9) 74% ✓
Baseline ML FDU -7.1 (+0.9) 145.8 (+12.2) 77% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 25, 2023 FDU 86 – 69 SFBK
Jan 5, 2023 FDU 76 – 57 SFBK
Feb 4, 2022 SFBK 81 – 64 FDU
Jan 22, 2022 SFBK 80 – 78 FDU
Feb 18, 2021 SFBK 90 – 87 FDU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings FDU SFBK
Overall 21-16 14-16
Conference 10-6 7-9
Home 10-5 10-5
Away 8-9 4-11
Neutral 3-2 0-0
Last 5 2-3 2-3
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 75.9 63.0
Avg Pts Against 75.1 68.3
Massey -8.6 (#313) -13.7 (#352)
Bradley-Terry -1.38 (#302) -1.94 (#335)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.74 (#298) -2.67 (#349)
RPI 0.444 (#291) 0.432 (#313)
Shooting & Four Factors FDU SFBK
FG% 45.1% 39.7%
3PT% 34.1% 35.9%
REB / G 32.7 33.2
OREB / G 11.0 11.1
AST / TO 1.21 0.78
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.5% 45.6%
TOV% 16.6% 21.2%
ORB% 30.6% 31.2%
FT Rate 21.2% 21.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 56.6% 50.4%
Opp TOV% 21.8% 19.7%
DRB% 70.9% 68.9%
Opp FT Rate 27.1% 22.1%

Game Analysis

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