Fairleigh Dickinson
Knights
83
–
75
FINAL
Conference
Northeast Conference
St. Francis Brooklyn
Terriers
Betting Lines
| Spread | FDU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | FDU -300 SFBK +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FDU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FDU +8 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | FDU -8.6 (-0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.9 (+11.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FDU -6.5 (+1.5) | 144.1 (+13.9) | 74% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | FDU -6.6 (+1.4) | 143.5 (+14.5) | 76% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | FDU -6.9 (+1.1) | 145.8 (+12.2) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FDU -7.1 (+0.9) | 145.8 (+12.2) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2023 | FDU 86 – 69 SFBK |
| Jan 5, 2023 | FDU 76 – 57 SFBK |
| Feb 4, 2022 | SFBK 81 – 64 FDU |
| Jan 22, 2022 | SFBK 80 – 78 FDU |
| Feb 18, 2021 | SFBK 90 – 87 FDU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FDU | SFBK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-16 | 14-16 |
| Conference | 10-6 | 7-9 |
| Home | 10-5 | 10-5 |
| Away | 8-9 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.9 | 63.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.1 | 68.3 |
| Massey | -8.6 (#313) | -13.7 (#352) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.38 (#302) | -1.94 (#335) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.74 (#298) | -2.67 (#349) |
| RPI | 0.444 (#291) | 0.432 (#313) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FDU | SFBK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 39.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 45.6% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.6% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.8% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.1% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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