Betting Lines
| Spread | FDU -2.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FDU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SFBK +2 | 158 | Lost |
| Massey | SFBK -0.0 (-2.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.2 (+20.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FDU -0.6 (-2.6) | 138.3 (+19.7) | 50% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SFBK -0.2 (-1.8) | 136.5 (+21.5) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SFBK -0.3 (-1.7) | 137.8 (+20.2) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FDU -0.2 (-2.2) | 138.3 (+19.7) | 47% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 2, 2023 | FDU 83 – 75 SFBK |
| Feb 25, 2023 | FDU 86 – 69 SFBK |
| Jan 5, 2023 | FDU 76 – 57 SFBK |
| Feb 4, 2022 | SFBK 81 – 64 FDU |
| Feb 18, 2021 | SFBK 90 – 87 FDU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FDU | SFBK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-22 | 10-20 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 7-11 |
| Home | 3-8 | 3-9 |
| Away | 2-16 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.2 | 65.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.2 | 71.2 |
| Massey | -14.0 (#345) | -10.4 (#328) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.37 (#334) | -3.03 (#348) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.91 (#332) | -3.63 (#345) |
| RPI | 0.411 (#313) | 0.368 (#344) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FDU | SFBK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.0% | 39.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.3% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.70 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.1% | 45.2% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 26.4% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.8% | 16.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.6% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 66.7% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.6% | 23.5% |
Game Analysis
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