Betting Lines
| Spread | FUR -15.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | FUR -1200 CIT +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FUR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FUR +25 | 169 | Won |
| Massey | FUR -11.6 (+13.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.3 (+23.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FUR -9.9 (+15.1) | 149.1 (+19.9) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FUR -11.2 (+13.8) | 148.2 (+20.8) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FUR -9.2 (+15.8) | 147.8 (+21.2) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FUR -9.6 (+15.4) | 148.3 (+20.7) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | FUR 72 – 51 CIT |
| Jan 22, 2026 | CIT 77 – 75 FUR |
| Feb 27, 2025 | FUR 85 – 42 CIT |
| Jan 9, 2025 | FUR 67 – 63 CIT |
| Feb 1, 2024 | FUR 82 – 79 CIT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FUR | CIT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-8 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 5-13 |
| Home | 14-2 | 5-9 |
| Away | 8-3 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.2 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 74.5 |
| Massey | 0.7 (#159) | -6.7 (#293) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.09 (#161) | -1.03 (#273) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.14 (#188) | -1.26 (#268) |
| RPI | 0.502 (#171) | 0.448 (#272) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FUR | CIT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.3% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.37 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.3% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 20.9% |
| FT Rate | 17.6% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.9% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 76.2% | 67.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.0% | 26.9% |
Game Analysis
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