Betting Lines
| Spread | URI -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | URI -125 FOR +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | URI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | URI +3 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | URI -1.4 (+1.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.6 (+24.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 17% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 22% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FOR -0.5 (+3.5) | 137.0 (+24.0) | 47% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | URI -0.6 (+2.4) | 137.7 (+23.3) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FOR -0.5 (+3.5) | 138.5 (+22.5) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FOR -0.4 (+3.4) | 137.1 (+23.9) | 44% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | FOR 61 – 49 URI |
| Feb 14, 2026 | FOR 70 – 66 URI |
| Mar 12, 2025 | FOR 88 – 71 URI |
| Mar 8, 2025 | URI 86 – 67 FOR |
| Feb 6, 2025 | FOR 80 – 79 URI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | URI | FOR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 25-8 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 12-6 |
| Home | 7-9 | 18-2 |
| Away | 1-10 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.0 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.6 | 67.6 |
| Massey | -3.6 (#238) | -0.7 (#188) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.24 (#291) | 1.09 (#82) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.24 (#267) | 0.92 (#106) |
| RPI | 0.458 (#249) | 0.530 (#119) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | URI | FOR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.8% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 29.6% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 38.5 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.3% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 21.3% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 34.6% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 30.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 45.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 74.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 21.4% |
Game Analysis
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