Betting Lines
| Spread | TXSO -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | TXSO -138 GRAM +138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TXSO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GRAM +13 | 157 | Lost |
| Massey | GRAM -0.8 (-12.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.0 (+26.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 35% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GRAM -1.7 (-11.3) | 136.9 (+20.1) | 39% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TXSO -0.2 (-13.2) | 136.9 (+20.1) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GRAM -2.2 (-10.8) | 135.2 (+21.8) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GRAM -1.5 (-11.5) | 135.0 (+22.0) | 41% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | TXSO 82 – 79 GRAM |
| Jan 6, 2026 | GRAM 84 – 67 TXSO |
| Feb 15, 2025 | TXSO 67 – 60 GRAM |
| Jan 7, 2025 | TXSO 71 – 66 GRAM |
| Mar 17, 2024 | GRAM 75 – 66 TXSO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TXSO | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-21 | 24-9 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 15-3 |
| Home | 7-6 | 11-1 |
| Away | 3-13 | 9-6 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 63.1 |
| Massey | -5.6 (#268) | -0.5 (#181) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.36 (#298) | 0.02 (#170) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.69 (#293) | 0.49 (#136) |
| RPI | 0.457 (#251) | 0.516 (#147) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TXSO | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.5% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 26.8% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.2% | 46.7% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 22.7% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 16.8% | 19.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 46.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 22.0% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 27.5% |
Game Analysis
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