Betting Lines
| Spread | ETSU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | ETSU -275 WCU +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ETSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WCU +11 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | ETSU -7.6 (-18.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.8 (-8.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ETSU -3.5 (-14.5) | 138.4 (-7.4) | 65% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ETSU -4.1 (-15.1) | 137.1 (-6.1) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ETSU -4.0 (-15.0) | 138.9 (-7.9) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ETSU -3.9 (-14.9) | 138.2 (-7.2) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | ETSU 69 – 67 WCU |
| Jan 30, 2026 | WCU 90 – 88 ETSU |
| Jan 14, 2026 | WCU 72 – 68 ETSU |
| Feb 12, 2025 | WCU 76 – 67 ETSU |
| Jan 23, 2025 | ETSU 85 – 58 WCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ETSU | WCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 18-16 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 10-8 |
| Home | 7-9 | 9-5 |
| Away | 4-9 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.0 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.5 | 72.7 |
| Massey | -3.8 (#244) | -7.0 (#296) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.86 (#325) | -1.04 (#275) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.21 (#316) | -1.65 (#290) |
| RPI | 0.395 (#337) | 0.438 (#286) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ETSU | WCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 39.9% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 30.4% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 19.9% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 74.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.1% | 25.4% |
Game Analysis
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