Betting Lines
| Spread | ETSU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | ETSU -162 WCU +136 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ETSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ETSU +2 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | ETSU -6.4 (-4.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.0 (-15.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ETSU -6.9 (-4.9) | 143.7 (-7.7) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ETSU -5.1 (-3.1) | 144.6 (-8.6) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ETSU -5.1 (-3.1) | 147.0 (-11.0) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ETSU -5.2 (-3.2) | 145.8 (-9.8) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | WCU 90 – 88 ETSU |
| Jan 14, 2026 | WCU 72 – 68 ETSU |
| Feb 12, 2025 | WCU 76 – 67 ETSU |
| Jan 23, 2025 | ETSU 85 – 58 WCU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | WCU 70 – 65 ETSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ETSU | WCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 10-8 |
| Home | 13-4 | 10-3 |
| Away | 8-6 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.8 | 76.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 79.0 |
| Massey | 1.7 (#137) | -4.7 (#241) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.02 (#162) | -0.80 (#241) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.01 (#163) | -1.16 (#250) |
| RPI | 0.530 (#111) | 0.503 (#182) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ETSU | WCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.8% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 12.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.41 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.4% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 34.4% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 55.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 14.7% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.0% | 28.1% |
Game Analysis
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