Betting Lines
| Spread | ETSU -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | ETSU -2000 WCU +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ETSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ETSU +27 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | ETSU -20.0 (+7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.7 (+3.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ETSU -15.9 (+11.1) | 140.1 (+2.9) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ETSU -13.9 (+13.1) | 143.7 (-0.7) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ETSU -14.1 (+12.9) | 140.7 (+2.3) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ETSU -15.2 (+11.8) | 140.1 (+2.9) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | ETSU 69 – 67 WCU |
| Jan 30, 2026 | WCU 90 – 88 ETSU |
| Jan 14, 2026 | WCU 72 – 68 ETSU |
| Feb 12, 2025 | WCU 76 – 67 ETSU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | WCU 70 – 65 ETSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ETSU | WCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 8-22 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 4-14 |
| Home | 13-3 | 7-7 |
| Away | 6-9 | 1-14 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 67.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 80.6 |
| Massey | 1.8 (#134) | -14.8 (#352) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.14 (#194) | -2.42 (#339) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.03 (#172) | -3.21 (#341) |
| RPI | 0.485 (#203) | 0.420 (#306) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ETSU | WCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 37.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 26.5% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 13.8 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 0.65 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 43.8% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 22.0% |
| ORB% | 38.1% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.0% | 17.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
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