Betting Lines
| Spread | WCU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | WCU -300 ETSU +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WCU +5 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | WCU -9.1 (-4.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.0 (-3.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WCU -6.3 (-1.3) | 138.9 (-3.9) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WCU -7.4 (-2.4) | 138.0 (-3.0) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WCU -7.3 (-2.3) | 139.1 (-4.1) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WCU -7.3 (-2.3) | 140.4 (-5.4) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | ETSU 69 – 67 WCU |
| Jan 30, 2026 | WCU 90 – 88 ETSU |
| Jan 14, 2026 | WCU 72 – 68 ETSU |
| Feb 12, 2025 | WCU 76 – 67 ETSU |
| Jan 23, 2025 | ETSU 85 – 58 WCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WCU | ETSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-10 | 19-16 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 8-10 |
| Home | 12-3 | 10-4 |
| Away | 10-6 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.1 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.8 | 70.8 |
| Massey | 2.8 (#128) | -2.9 (#216) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.83 (#115) | -0.14 (#185) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.90 (#118) | -0.20 (#188) |
| RPI | 0.536 (#117) | 0.494 (#177) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WCU | ETSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 39.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 29.6% |
| REB / G | 38.5 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 13.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 45.9% |
| TOV% | 14.5% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 34.4% |
| FT Rate | 19.5% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.3% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 75.6% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 24.5% |
Game Analysis
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