Betting Lines
| Spread | ETSU -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | WCU +550 ETSU -900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WCU +9 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | ETSU -13.1 (+22.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.6 (+2.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 11% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ETSU -12.4 (+21.4) | 138.3 (+4.7) | 16% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ETSU -11.5 (+20.5) | 139.3 (+3.7) | 19% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ETSU -11.5 (+20.5) | 137.8 (+5.2) | 15% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ETSU -11.3 (+20.3) | 138.1 (+4.9) | 15% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | ETSU 69 – 67 WCU |
| Jan 30, 2026 | WCU 90 – 88 ETSU |
| Jan 14, 2026 | WCU 72 – 68 ETSU |
| Jan 23, 2025 | ETSU 85 – 58 WCU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | WCU 70 – 65 ETSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WCU | ETSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-22 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 12-6 |
| Home | 7-7 | 13-3 |
| Away | 1-14 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.1 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.6 | 67.4 |
| Massey | -14.5 (#354) | 1.8 (#135) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.70 (#349) | -0.01 (#171) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.41 (#353) | 0.06 (#170) |
| RPI | 0.410 (#327) | 0.493 (#193) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WCU | ETSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.7% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 28.4% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 13.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.8% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 26.1% | 37.1% |
| FT Rate | 19.3% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.7% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.2% | 24.0% |
Game Analysis
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