Betting Lines
| Spread | ETSU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | WCU +250 ETSU -310 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WCU +4 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | ETSU -9.7 (+13.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.6 (-11.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 28% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 20% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ETSU -9.0 (+13.0) | 145.8 (-5.8) | 21% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ETSU -8.4 (+12.4) | 145.8 (-5.8) | 21% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ETSU -8.5 (+12.5) | 144.7 (-4.7) | 20% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ETSU -9.3 (+13.3) | 146.2 (-6.2) | 19% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | ETSU 69 – 67 WCU |
| Jan 30, 2026 | WCU 90 – 88 ETSU |
| Feb 12, 2025 | WCU 76 – 67 ETSU |
| Jan 23, 2025 | ETSU 85 – 58 WCU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | WCU 70 – 65 ETSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WCU | ETSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 13-5 |
| Home | 10-3 | 13-4 |
| Away | 4-12 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.3 | 76.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.0 | 70.1 |
| Massey | -8.7 (#291) | 4.4 (#110) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.50 (#296) | 0.04 (#171) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.91 (#292) | 0.12 (#162) |
| RPI | 0.459 (#248) | 0.499 (#178) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WCU | ETSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 49.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 1.30 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 56.0% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.8% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.8% | 27.1% |
Game Analysis
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