Betting Lines
| Spread | USF -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | USF -110 TEM +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEM +4 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | USF -3.2 (-7.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.1 (-5.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USF -1.9 (-5.9) | 136.7 (-4.7) | 60% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USF -1.3 (-5.3) | 135.8 (-3.8) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USF -2.2 (-6.2) | 138.5 (-6.5) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | USF -1.9 (-5.9) | 139.5 (-7.5) | 61% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | TEM 79 – 78 USF |
| Feb 27, 2025 | TEM 73 – 71 USF |
| Feb 7, 2025 | USF 100 – 91 TEM |
| Jan 25, 2024 | USF 75 – 69 TEM |
| Jan 5, 2024 | USF 76 – 68 TEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USF | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 10-8 |
| Home | 9-9 | 9-7 |
| Away | 4-7 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 70.2 |
| Massey | -0.4 (#180) | 0.7 (#158) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.75 (#251) | 0.05 (#165) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.44 (#206) | 0.12 (#162) |
| RPI | 0.457 (#250) | 0.525 (#130) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USF | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 17.3% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 47.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.5% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.6% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
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