Betting Lines
| Spread | BEL -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | UIC +180 BEL -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BEL +6 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | BEL -2.0 (-4.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.5 (+0.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BEL -2.1 (-3.9) | 143.3 (+4.7) | 46% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BEL -3.7 (-2.3) | 142.6 (+5.4) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BEL -1.5 (-4.5) | 143.5 (+4.5) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BEL -2.0 (-4.0) | 143.5 (+4.5) | 41% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | BEL 68 – 62 UIC |
| Dec 13, 2025 | BEL 87 – 84 UIC |
| Jan 4, 2025 | BEL 92 – 87 UIC |
| Feb 18, 2024 | BEL 75 – 60 UIC |
| Jan 27, 2024 | BEL 74 – 65 UIC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIC | BEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 21-11 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 14-6 |
| Home | 7-8 | 12-2 |
| Away | 3-11 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.7 | 76.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 72.5 |
| Massey | -5.7 (#269) | 0.6 (#160) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.31 (#207) | 0.32 (#140) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.58 (#215) | -0.00 (#174) |
| RPI | 0.483 (#202) | 0.524 (#132) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIC | BEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 40.2% |
| REB / G | 31.1 | 30.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 7.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 54.4% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 22.3% | 23.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.6% | 18.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.3% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 66.5% | 67.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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