Betting Lines
| Spread | RUTG -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
| Money | RUTG -225 MD +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RUTG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RUTG +14 | 114 | Won |
| Massey | RUTG -11.0 (+3.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 122.1 (-8.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RUTG -9.7 (+4.3) | 130.2 (-16.2) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RUTG -8.1 (+5.9) | 128.3 (-14.3) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RUTG -9.1 (+4.9) | 127.9 (-13.9) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RUTG -9.6 (+4.4) | 128.5 (-14.5) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | RUTG 69 – 65 MD |
| Feb 15, 2026 | RUTG 68 – 57 MD |
| Feb 9, 2025 | MD 90 – 81 RUTG |
| Mar 13, 2024 | MD 65 – 51 RUTG |
| Feb 25, 2024 | MD 63 – 46 RUTG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RUTG | MD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 11-9 |
| Home | 14-6 | 16-1 |
| Away | 4-7 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.1 | 63.5 |
| Massey | 16.2 (#9) | 9.5 (#50) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.72 (#53) | 1.92 (#45) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.37 (#51) | 2.53 (#46) |
| RPI | 0.582 (#54) | 0.596 (#38) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RUTG | MD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 39.3 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.30 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 34.6% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.6% | 44.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.8% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.9% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
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