Betting Lines
| Spread | MD -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 125.5 Under |
| Money | MD -213 RUTG +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MD +14 | 116 | Won |
| Massey | MD -3.3 (+10.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 120.2 (-4.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MD -2.7 (+11.3) | 128.2 (-12.2) | 56% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MD -2.7 (+11.3) | 125.5 (-9.5) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MD -2.1 (+11.9) | 122.9 (-6.9) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MD -1.7 (+12.3) | 124.9 (-8.9) | 56% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | RUTG 69 – 65 MD |
| Feb 15, 2026 | RUTG 68 – 57 MD |
| Feb 9, 2025 | MD 90 – 81 RUTG |
| Feb 25, 2024 | MD 63 – 46 RUTG |
| Feb 6, 2024 | RUTG 56 – 53 MD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MD | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 7-13 |
| Home | 11-6 | 12-5 |
| Away | 4-8 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.0 | 65.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.9 | 66.5 |
| Massey | 9.2 (#63) | 5.9 (#98) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.87 (#105) | 1.06 (#95) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.53 (#87) | 1.39 (#95) |
| RPI | 0.507 (#159) | 0.520 (#132) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MD | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 39.2% |
| 3PT% | 28.4% | 28.9% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.7% | 43.7% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 32.2% | 30.6% |
| FT Rate | 30.1% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.5% | 47.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 21.5% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.5% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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