Betting Lines
| Spread | MD -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 126.5 Under |
| Money | MD -350 RUTG +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RUTG +3 | 109 | Lost |
| Massey | MD -7.5 (-10.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 118.9 (-9.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MD -5.4 (-8.4) | 129.2 (-20.2) | 66% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MD -6.0 (-9.0) | 127.7 (-18.7) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MD -4.7 (-7.7) | 123.6 (-14.6) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MD -5.3 (-8.3) | 124.8 (-15.8) | 69% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | RUTG 69 – 65 MD |
| Feb 15, 2026 | RUTG 68 – 57 MD |
| Feb 9, 2025 | MD 90 – 81 RUTG |
| Mar 13, 2024 | MD 65 – 51 RUTG |
| Feb 25, 2024 | MD 63 – 46 RUTG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MD | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 7-13 |
| Home | 11-6 | 12-5 |
| Away | 4-8 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.0 | 65.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.9 | 66.5 |
| Massey | 9.3 (#61) | 5.2 (#99) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.16 (#91) | 0.96 (#104) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.79 (#74) | 1.33 (#96) |
| RPI | 0.532 (#116) | 0.526 (#127) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MD | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 38.8% |
| 3PT% | 29.3% | 28.0% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 38.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 13.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.1% | 43.3% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 33.9% | 31.8% |
| FT Rate | 29.4% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.5% | 46.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 21.8% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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