Betting Lines
| Spread | RUTG -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Under |
| Money | RUTG -138 MD +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RUTG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MD +17 | 109 | Lost |
| Massey | RUTG -0.0 (-17.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 121.8 (-12.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RUTG -0.8 (-17.8) | 132.9 (-23.9) | 50% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RUTG -0.6 (-17.6) | 130.0 (-21.0) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RUTG -1.0 (-18.0) | 126.9 (-17.9) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RUTG -1.4 (-18.4) | 129.5 (-20.5) | 46% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | RUTG 69 – 65 MD |
| Feb 15, 2026 | RUTG 68 – 57 MD |
| Feb 9, 2025 | MD 90 – 81 RUTG |
| Mar 13, 2024 | MD 65 – 51 RUTG |
| Feb 6, 2024 | RUTG 56 – 53 MD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RUTG | MD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 7-13 |
| Home | 12-5 | 11-6 |
| Away | 3-9 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.4 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 65.9 |
| Massey | 6.5 (#90) | 9.7 (#53) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.38 (#73) | 0.98 (#103) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.76 (#72) | 1.65 (#79) |
| RPI | 0.545 (#100) | 0.519 (#139) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RUTG | MD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.2% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 29.4% | 28.8% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.8% | 46.6% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 33.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 30.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 45.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.5% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
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