And I'm telling you son, well, it ain't no fun staring straight down a forty-four. "Gimme Three Steps" - Lynyrd Skynyrd
Big Ten Conference · Jersey Mike’s Arena · February 15, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread RUTG -2.5 Home covered
O/U 144.5 Under
Money RUTG -142 / MD +120
Model Predictions
Spread Total RUTG win
Actual RUTG +11 125 Won
Massey RUTG -1.9 (+9.1) — —
Massey Totals — 148.4 (-23.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 45% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 38% ✗
Baseline Plus ML RUTG -0.9 (+10.1) 144.7 (-19.7) 60% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ RUTG -1.0 (+10.0) 144.7 (-19.7) 48% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML RUTG -1.0 (+10.0) 144.1 (-19.1) 60% ✓
Baseline ML RUTG -1.0 (+10.0) 144.8 (-19.8) 57% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 1, 2026 RUTG 69 – 65 MD
Feb 9, 2025 MD 90 – 81 RUTG
Mar 13, 2024 MD 65 – 51 RUTG
Feb 25, 2024 MD 63 – 46 RUTG
Feb 6, 2024 RUTG 56 – 53 MD

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings RUTG MD
Overall 14-20 12-21
Conference 6-14 4-16
Home 10-7 7-8
Away 2-9 2-10
Neutral 2-4 3-3
Last 5 0-5 2-3
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 70.5 69.7
Avg Pts Against 75.3 76.6
Massey 0.5 (#155) 1.5 (#142)
Bradley-Terry 0.27 (#142) 0.96 (#90)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.14 (#157) 1.18 (#93)
RPI 0.497 (#193) 0.522 (#129)
Shooting & Four Factors RUTG MD
FG% 41.0% 41.2%
3PT% 32.2% 32.2%
REB / G 34.4 34.8
OREB / G 12.0 12.0
AST / TO 1.04 0.81
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 46.7% 48.6%
TOV% 15.8% 18.4%
ORB% 32.5% 33.0%
FT Rate 26.8% 29.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 53.0% 55.4%
Opp TOV% 16.4% 16.2%
DRB% 66.4% 68.6%
Opp FT Rate 23.4% 25.0%

Game Analysis

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