Betting Lines
| Spread | RUTG -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | RUTG -142 MD +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RUTG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RUTG +11 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | RUTG -1.9 (+9.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.4 (-23.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 38% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RUTG -1.0 (+10.0) | 144.7 (-19.7) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RUTG -1.0 (+10.0) | 144.1 (-19.1) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RUTG -1.0 (+10.0) | 144.8 (-19.8) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RUTG -0.9 (+10.1) | 144.7 (-19.7) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | RUTG 69 – 65 MD |
| Feb 9, 2025 | MD 90 – 81 RUTG |
| Mar 13, 2024 | MD 65 – 51 RUTG |
| Feb 25, 2024 | MD 63 – 46 RUTG |
| Feb 6, 2024 | RUTG 56 – 53 MD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RUTG | MD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-20 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 4-16 |
| Home | 10-7 | 7-8 |
| Away | 2-9 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.5 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.3 | 76.6 |
| Massey | 0.5 (#155) | 1.5 (#142) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.27 (#142) | 0.96 (#90) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.14 (#157) | 1.18 (#93) |
| RPI | 0.497 (#193) | 0.522 (#129) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RUTG | MD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.7% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 33.0% |
| FT Rate | 26.8% | 29.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.0% | 55.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 66.4% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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