Betting Lines
| Spread | MD -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | MD -425 RUTG +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MD +9 | 171 | Won |
| Massey | MD -14.0 (-5.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.5 (+17.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MD -12.2 (-3.2) | 152.0 (+19.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MD -11.4 (-2.4) | 151.6 (+19.4) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MD -11.9 (-2.9) | 151.9 (+19.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MD -11.8 (-2.8) | 151.7 (+19.3) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | RUTG 69 – 65 MD |
| Feb 15, 2026 | RUTG 68 – 57 MD |
| Mar 13, 2024 | MD 65 – 51 RUTG |
| Feb 25, 2024 | MD 63 – 46 RUTG |
| Feb 6, 2024 | RUTG 56 – 53 MD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MD | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-9 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 8-12 |
| Home | 17-2 | 11-5 |
| Away | 5-5 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.1 | 77.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 77.6 |
| Massey | 19.6 (#12) | 8.7 (#67) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.51 (#36) | 1.46 (#68) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.62 (#21) | 2.24 (#54) |
| RPI | 0.587 (#44) | 0.556 (#74) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MD | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.1% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.46 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.7% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 32.4% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.8% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
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