Betting Lines
| Spread | MD -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | MD -225 RUTG +185 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RUTG +4 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | MD -4.1 (-8.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.8 (-12.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MD -4.3 (-8.3) | 141.2 (-7.2) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MD -3.5 (-7.5) | 139.7 (-5.7) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MD -3.9 (-7.9) | 140.9 (-6.9) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MD -3.2 (-7.2) | 141.1 (-7.1) | 67% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | RUTG 68 – 57 MD |
| Feb 9, 2025 | MD 90 – 81 RUTG |
| Mar 13, 2024 | MD 65 – 51 RUTG |
| Feb 25, 2024 | MD 63 – 46 RUTG |
| Feb 6, 2024 | RUTG 56 – 53 MD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MD | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-21 | 14-20 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 6-14 |
| Home | 7-8 | 10-7 |
| Away | 2-10 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.6 | 75.3 |
| Massey | 2.2 (#133) | 1.1 (#146) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.78 (#99) | 0.42 (#125) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.98 (#99) | 0.50 (#126) |
| RPI | 0.512 (#151) | 0.491 (#207) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MD | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 47.2% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 33.4% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 27.6% | 27.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.0% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 66.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.4% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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