Betting Lines
| Spread | VT -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | VT -250 CLEM +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLEM +3 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | VT -7.5 (-10.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.7 (-11.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VT -6.7 (-9.7) | 141.2 (-8.2) | 76% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VT -6.5 (-9.5) | 141.3 (-8.3) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VT -6.9 (-9.9) | 143.4 (-10.4) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | VT -6.3 (-9.3) | 142.9 (-9.9) | 73% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | VT 76 – 66 CLEM |
| Mar 8, 2025 | CLEM 65 – 47 VT |
| Jan 25, 2025 | CLEM 72 – 57 VT |
| Jan 11, 2024 | VT 87 – 72 CLEM |
| Jan 21, 2023 | CLEM 51 – 50 VT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VT | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 14-6 |
| Home | 13-4 | 15-2 |
| Away | 2-10 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 67.9 |
| Massey | 9.8 (#46) | 6.6 (#79) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.13 (#37) | 1.29 (#74) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.92 (#32) | 1.92 (#69) |
| RPI | 0.612 (#24) | 0.567 (#67) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VT | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.0% | 47.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 38.8% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 7.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.48 | 1.45 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.6% | 54.6% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 24.1% |
| FT Rate | 17.7% | 25.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.9% | 46.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 76.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.5% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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